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Capital Formation and Capital Placement
Capital Formation and Capital Placement
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Can Apt. Supply Meet the Coming Demand?
Posted on 3 April, 2016 at 2:49 |
CAMBRIDGE,
MA—Harvard’s latest study of rental housing underpinned an open letter
from Lloyd Jones Capital’s Chris Finlay, while Clyde Holland testified
before Congress last week. All cited the growing gap between affordable
supply and renter demand. CAMBRIDGE,
MA—Harvard University’s annual study of rental housing was on the
industry’s radar again this past week, as Lloyd Jones Capital CEO Chris
Finlay sent out an open letter via email, summarizing his impressions of
the study. Originally published this past December, the study from
Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies notes that renter households
now number nearly 43 million out of 116 million US households.“Renters
now represent 37% of all households, the highest number since the
mid-1960s,” Finlay writes. “That’s a lot of renters, and they need
decent housing.”Whether the supply of decent housing will be
there to meet the demand is another matter. “Rising demand has put
upward pressure on rents and reduced vacancies; meanwhile, new additions
to the rental market have primarily added units with above-median
rents,” according to the Harvard study. “While the supply of rental
housing has increased, primarily through conversion of formerly
owner-occupied units and, to a lesser extent, new construction, rental
demand has increased even faster.”In testimony before the House
Committee on Financial Services Housing and Insurance Subcommittee,
Clyde Holland, chairman and CEO of Holland Partner Group, outlined some
reasons for what he called the growing affordability problem in rental
housing. “First, while the cost to develop and operate rental housing
increases every year, the median renter household income today is
virtually unchanged since 1981, on an inflation-adjusted basis,” said
Holland, testifying on behalf of the National Multifamily Housing
Council and the National Apartment Association.Secondly, Holland
pointed to the gap between the supply of rental apartments and the
demand. “Almost 75 million young adults are entering the housing market,
primarily as renters. At the same time, Baby Boomers and empty nesters
are trading single-family houses for rental apartments,” he testified.
“This combination of factors is forecast to lead to four million new
renter households over the next decade.”Just to keep pace with
the new demand, Holland told Congress, “Between 300,000 and 400,000
apartments must be constructed annually…Yet, on average, just 208,000
apartments were delivered in the four-year period from 2011 to 2015,”
although MPF Research reported last week that the 12-month tally for
last year was slightly higher at 226,790 completed units.And
finally, Holland noted that the development of new apartment homes is
exceptionally difficult, especially in those markets where apartment
needs are strongest. “Even in communities that want and desperately need
new multifamily development, there are numerous hurdles that must be
overcome, including entitlement expenditures, zoning rules,
environmental site assessments, impact fees, mandates like inclusionary
zoning or rent control, labor expenses and building code requirements,”
he said.Holland said that policymakers must recognize that
addressing local workforce housing needs requires a partnership between
government and the private sector. He proposed that local governments
defer taxes and other fees for a set period of time, along with
leveraging their tangible assets like buildings, raw land and entitled
parcels.In his open letter, Finlay offered further thoughts on
addressing the supply-demand imbalance. He noted that the Low Income
Housing Tax Credit program has added or preserved more than 2.2 million
units since it began in 1986, although bureaucracy has inflated the
costs of development to the point where they can exceed those of market
rate properties.“There are a lot of programs for the very poor,”
wrote Finlay. “But what about the American workforce that also struggles
to find affordable housing? These households don’t have all the
assistance that is available to the very low-income households. If you
took all the money poured into various programs, including LIHTC, and
applied it directly to vouchers, I suspect households would be moving
out of bad neighborhoods and into safer communities.” Paul Bubny › Paul Bubny is managing editor of Real
Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com. He has been reporting on business since
1988 and on commercial real estate since 2007. He is based at ALM Real
Estate Media Group's offices in New York City. |
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